Arch Capital Group Preferred Stock Performance

ACGLO Preferred Stock  USD 20.94  0.13  0.62%   
Arch Capital has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.3, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Arch Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Arch Capital is expected to be smaller as well. Arch Capital Group right now shows a risk of 0.53%. Please confirm Arch Capital Group information ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Arch Capital Group will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Arch Capital Group are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy essential indicators, Arch Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.1 B
  

Arch Capital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,081  in Arch Capital Group on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  13.00  from holding Arch Capital Group or generate 0.62% return on investment over 90 days. Arch Capital Group is currently producing 0.0118% returns and takes up 0.5273% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded preferred stocks are less volatile than Arch, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Arch Capital is expected to generate 7.6 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.43 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Arch Capital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Arch Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.94 90 days 20.94 
about 23.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arch Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.75 (This Arch Capital Group probability density function shows the probability of Arch Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Arch Capital has a beta of 0.3. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Arch Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arch Capital Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Arch Capital Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Arch Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arch Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arch Capital Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.4220.9421.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.3220.8421.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.1820.7021.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.3320.9021.46
Details

Arch Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arch Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arch Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arch Capital Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arch Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Arch Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arch Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arch Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arch Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding583.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments22.4 B

Arch Capital Fundamentals Growth

Arch Preferred Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Arch Capital, and Arch Capital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Arch Preferred Stock performance.

About Arch Capital Performance

By examining Arch Capital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Arch Capital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Arch Capital is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products worldwide. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Pembroke, Bermuda. Arch Capital operates under InsuranceDiversified classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 5200 people.

Things to note about Arch Capital Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arch Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Preferred Stock alerts and notifications screener for Arch Capital Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Arch Capital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Arch Capital's preferred stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Arch Capital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Arch Capital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Arch Capital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Arch Capital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Arch Capital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Arch Capital's preferred stock. These opinions can provide insight into Arch Capital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Arch Capital's preferred stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Arch Capital's preferred stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Arch Preferred Stock

Arch Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arch Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arch with respect to the benefits of owning Arch Capital security.